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Poster
in
Workshop: Bayesian Decision-making and Uncertainty: from probabilistic and spatiotemporal modeling to sequential experiment design

Failure Prediction from Few Expert Demonstrations

Anjali Parashar · Kunal Garg · Joseph Zhang · Chuchu Fan

Keywords: [ Gaussian process regression ] [ bayesian inference ] [ Failure Detection ]


Abstract:

This extended abstract presents a novel three-step methodology for discovering failures that occur in the true system by using a combination of a minimal number of demonstrations of the true system and the failure information processed through sampling-based testing of a model dynamical system. The proposed methodology comprises a) exhaustive simulations for discovering failures using model dynamics; b) design of initial demonstrations of the true system using Bayesian inference to learn a GPR-based failure predictor; and c) iterative demonstrations of the true system for updating the failure predictor. As a demonstration of the presented methodology, we consider the failure discovery for the task of pushing a T block to a fixed target region with UR3E collaborative robot arm using a diffusion policy and present the preliminary results on failure prediction for the true system.

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