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Poster
in
Workshop: Time Series in the Age of Large Models

Enhancing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Multi-Task Learning and Random Matrix Theory

Romain Ilbert · Malik Tiomoko · Cosme Louart · Vasilii Feofanov · Themis Palpanas · Ievgen Redko


Abstract:

We present a novel approach to multivariate time series forecasting by framing it as a multi-task learning problem. We propose an optimization strategy that enhances single-channel predictions by leveraging information across multiple channels. Our framework offers a closed-form solution for linear models and connects forecasting performance to key statistical properties using advanced analytical tools. Empirical results on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that integrating our method into training loss functions significantly improves univariate models by effectively utilizing multivariate data within a multi-task learning framework.

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