Poster
in
Workshop: Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
Identifying latent climate signals using sparse hierarchical Gaussian processes
Matt Amos · Thomas Pinder · Paul Young
Abstract:
Extracting latent climate signals from multiple climate model simulations is important to estimate future climate change. To tackle this we develop a sparse hierarchical Gaussian process (SHGP), which probabilistically learns a latent distribution from a set of vectors. We use this to predict the latent surface temperature change globally and for central England from an ensemble of climate models, in a scalable manner and with robust uncertainty propagation.
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